Continental Internet Baseball League

Est. 1997

2005 Draft Analysis - One Year Later

This is a subjective analysis of the 2005 CIBL draft. While it is not possible to fully judge the success and failure of draft picks for several years, it's an interesting exercise to look back one year and analyze what currently look like good picks.

The best picks by each round are analyzed. The "not so good" choices are identified only for the first three rounds, since everything after that is guesswork anyway.

Click here to see all of the draft picks.

Round one

The best picks:

Having acquired the second overall pick from the Hysteria, the Hens selected third baseman David Wright. I have been very high on Wright since his time in AA, but he even exceeded those lofty expectations with his 2005 performance with the Mets.

Older pitchers tend to get de-valued in the CIBL draft, which is likely why Chris Carpenter dropped to the Drillers' 10th overall pick. Carpenter proceeded to turn in a Cy Young-caliber season in St. Louis.

Grady Sizemore is a five-tool talent who should only get better with more experience; he turned out to be a steal for the Scorpions with the 13th overall pick, acquired from the Pinnipeds in a deal for Luis Castillo.

Ryan Howard, who was the 20th pick of the round by the HiSox, got a chance to play in Philadelphia when Thome got hurt and showed that his minor league numbers were not a fluke.

Joe Mauer stayed healthy all year and put up decent numbers for a catcher, finally solving the Synthesis' long-running catching problems.

Special note: The first pick, BJ Upton, did not get a call-up by Tampa Bay, but is still projected as a superstar in the making. He'll be worth stashing away by the rebuilding Phobics.

The not so good picks:

7th overall pick Charles Thomas spent most of the 2005 season as a fourth outfielder in AAA, and does not appear to be in Oakland's plans for the coming season. Gavin Floyd had a setback, but still has plenty of time to put it together. The conventional wisdom is that Japanese players need a full season to become acclimated to baseball in the States, but Kaz Matsui instead regressed in his second MLB season.

Round two

The best picks:

The Phobics got a steal with the 1st pick of the round with infielder Jorge Cantu, who surprised everyone with his power production in his first full season. After a slow start, Joe Blanton turned out to be one of the top rookies pitchers in the big leagues, giving the Sluggers a good choice with the 4th pick of the round. The Boulders, always in the hunt for good relievers, picked up a decent one in Jesse Crain. Chris Young is looking like he'll be a good starter for the HiSox.

The not so good picks:

John Van Benschoten was already hurt by the time of the CIBL draft and missed the entire season. With Pittsburgh's depth of young pitchers, he's probably still a year away from getting much of a shot with the big league team. Bobby Madritsch was looking like a good sleeper pick for the second round, but got hurt early in 2005 and pitched only one game.

Round three

The best picks:

The Buffalo Chips pounced on Chad Tracy when the Diamondback mysteriously slipped to late in the third round. His move to first base AND his vast offensive improvement was timely for the Yankton team since Ken Harvey and Doug Mientkievicz underachieved in 2005 and won't be returning to the Chips for another season. Erik Bedard pitched decently in 2005, making him a good third round pick for the Hysteria. Even accounting for his numbers being Coors-inflated, Matt Holliday turned out to be a good third round pick for the Drillers.

The not so good picks:

The Scorpions had two picks early in the round and botched them both, selecting pitcher J.D. Durbin and catcher Chris Snyder. Durbin regressed in 2005 and did not get a late season call-up, while Snyder struggled to hit over .200. Meanwhile, the 2006 Scorpions are in desperate need for another good left-handed hitter and will forever regret not picking Tracy with one of the two picks.

Round four

The best picks:

The Force's selection of Clint Barmes was looking real good until the Rockie shortstop got hurt; regardless, it turned out to be a good fourth round pick. With the pool of third basemen usually being sparse, the Buffalo Chips made a good choice in this round with the frequently-maligned Joe Randa, who is at least a decent role player. Most of us had forgotten about Pittsburgh southpaw Dave Williams, but the Phobics picked up a decent pitcher late in the fourth round.

Round five

The best picks:

Shawn Chacon likely would have been drafted higher if we had all known that he was going to get traded out of Colorado, so the Phobics made a good choice to start round five. The Scorpions made up for their dismal third round performance by grabbing two serviceable pitchers in starter Bruce Chen and reliever Matt Wise. The last three picks of the round all turned out to be keepers --- Scott Elarton (Commuters), Scott Eyre (Peanuts) and Ryan Dempster (Pinnipeds).

 

Round six

The best picks:

The Sidewinders started their impressive late draft run by picking up Brad Halsey, who had some good outings early in the year before struggling down the stretch. The Vipers picked Bob Howry for the second year in a row and he rewarded them with a stellar season in the big leagues. The Buffalo Chips grabbed another productive left-handed hitter in David Dellucci.

Round seven

The best picks:

This round turned out to be more productive then many of the earlier rounds of the draft, with at least seven good choices.

The lesson to be learned from Gustavo Chacin's season in Toronto is that we should sometimes ignore the scouting reports and pay more attention to minor league results; the Phobics picked up a solid starter with the first choice of the 7th round. Javier Valentin will give the Synthesis a solid backup catcher with very good numbers. The Commuters got a steal late in the round with southpaw closer Brian Fuentes. Xavier Nady will provide the Boulders with good numbers against left-handed pitching. Elmer Dessens pitched much better out of the bullpen than as a starter, giving the Drillers a good reliever for 2006. The Pinnipeds also got a solid reliever in Chad Qualls. The Beasts went with a veteran, Olmedo Saenz, who will give them good numbers and unlimited at bats vs. LHP in 2006.

Round eight

The best picks:

Round eight wasn't as productive as the previous one, but the Sidewinders got the best player in outfielder Jonny Gomes. We all should have ranked him higher on our draft lists after his monster winter league season in Mexico. Bob Wickman had a very nice comeback season to give the Sluggers a good closer for 2006.

Round nine

The best picks:

The Synthesis picked Willy Taveras early in the round. While his skills don't translate as well to DMB (low OPS), he should give them good defense and stolen bases. The Sidewinders picked up a good part-time outfielder in Ryan Church.

Round ten

The best picks:

Round ten turned out to be exceptionally productive, with at least five keepers being drafted. The best pick of the round was the Commuters' late round choice of closer Todd Jones, who should be one of the CIBL's top bullpen guys in 2006. Another good pick was the Hysteria's selection of pitcher Aaron Heilman, who had a good comeback year with the Mets. The Scorpions had only one pick after the seventh round, and used it on a potential keeper: utility infielder Antonio Perez. Gary Majewski will give the Skeeters a good right-hander in the bullpen. The HiSox grabbed a keeper near the end of the round in pitcher Kameron Loe.

Supplemental rounds

The best picks:

It's rare to get anything of value this late in the draft, but at least two keepers came out of this phase. The Beasts chose Tony Clark, who put up unprecedented numbers in a part-time role for the Diamondbacks. The Sidewinders wrapped up their successful late round run with Chris Shelton.

Analysis by Bill Mitchell